3. Predictive EMS control

Created by Kamila Dorušáková, Modified on Thu, 19 Feb at 2:22 PM by Kamila Dorušáková

3.1 Purpose

Predictive control optimizes energy flows with regard to future developments in energy production, consumption, and prices. The goal is to maximize savings or profits while fully respecting all operational management constraints.


3.2 Time and calculation model

  • Planning takes place in 15-minute time blocks.
  • The plan is regularly recalculated when predictions or input data change. Planning algorithm:
  • creates an operating plan for each facility (production, consumption, accumulation),
  • simultaneously calculates the economic benefit (savings/profit).


3.3 Economic model

Predictive control works:

  • with a fixed price,
  • with SPOT price,
  • all distribution and system fees,
  • with trader fees,
  • including VAT.


Calculations are based exclusively on actual purchase and sale prices, not on idealized electricity prices.


3.4 Relationship to operational management

Predictive management:

  • determines the preferred operating strategy,
  • Real-time operational management:
  1. implements the strategy,
    1. or limits it if the limits are exceeded.

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